AA vs TT – odds and probability for the poker hands AA vs TT

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Mark | Poker Articles, Poker Rules

AA vs TT

Pocket tens are one of my favorite hands in no limit Texas Hold’em mainly because I have won some of my biggest ever pots with them after flopping sets but also because I like the fact they are the only Hold’em starting hand ranked in the top ten that does not have a face card. I think it must be the rebellious streak in me or the love of the underdog! In this short post, the topic of odds and probability for the hands AA vs TT will be explored.

Odds and probability of AA vs TT happening

Although pocket tens are a very useful hand they, like all pocket pairs, are extremely vulnerable when facing larger pairs, something that will happen to pocket tens 16.37% of the time, or roughly once every five times at a full ring table, more often than you would like to believe. Of all the pairs of kings down to tens, the latter fairs best when it comes up against the dreaded pocket aces, but an AA vs TT clash will still see the tens lose 80.75% of the time.

Those focusing on the betfair offers now and then might be able to tell you that it is quite rare to see AA vs TT confrontations taking place unless the player with aces is getting tricky and slow playing or the player with the tens is short-stacked and moves all in. This is because most people who are holding a pair of tens will not go too far with them if they face a lot of heat preflop and will generally proceed with caution if they do finish up seeing a flop.

Odds of winning when you have AA vs TT

If you find yourself in an AA vs TT situation when you fail to improve on a dry flop such as Jd-7c-3h, your tens are now in horrible shape with exactly 10% chance of winning. However, if you do manage to flop a set you will go from a massive underdog to being more than a 91% favorite, a great position to be in. Those studying the latest betfair promo should note that one type of flop that often gives players too much optimism is a draw heavy one such as Ks-Qs-Jd as it looks like you have outs to a straight but you will still be a 75.5% underdog in this situation so be warned!

Famous AA vs TT confrontations

The beauty of tens is when they do flop a set or suck out on a higher pair it is usually for a substantial pot as shown by the following hand from last year’s World Series of Poker Main Event. In the hand Denise Molloy and John Monnette had entered a raising war preflop that resulted in the former being all in. She was in bad shape as she was in the worst possible AA vs TT battle, her TsTd were up against AsAd so she would not be able to make an unlikely flush, lowering her chances of winning by a couple of percent. The dealer put the flop out and she flopped a set of tens but her joy was short-lived as Monnette also flopped a set with the board reading Ah-Th-9d, making her a 96% underdog. The 3c on the turn meant she was drawing to a single out, the ten of clubs, and by some miracle the 2% shot came in on the river to win her the 124,500 pot. Try not to rely on narrow odds when you are holding tens, try to avoid AA vs TT situations as much as you possibly can!

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